I'm battling to make a prediction for this first test match between SA and Australia kicking off at the Wanderers on Thursday. So I'm going to try and break down the factors I believe are going to influence the outcome of the game.
Bowling attack
Lots of debate at the moment around the attack the Aussies are likely to field with most people leaning toward a four-seam bowler attack of Johnson, Siddle, Bollinger and Hilfenhaus with North and Clarke playing as the part-time spin option.
A lot of negative comments have been passed about the Aussies not including a spinner with some people saying a spinner HAS to be included for variety purposes... In this situation, you go with your best bowlers, not your best three and a spinner.
Clarke and North can add variety where necessary.
Still think the attack looks thin though and this is why I can't see them bowling SA out twice though.
The toss
My prediction for this fixture - if South Africa wins the toss and bats first - we will win the test match. If Australia wins the toss and bats first, then a draw is on the cards. Batting first and clocking up a big score I reckon is going to be important in this test match.
Weather
The weather may play a role with the clouds looming overhead. Overcast conditions may help swing bowlers a little... hopefully we're not going to see the game get rained out.
Fans
The promoters for this series have been talking up the game and are hoping to build a huge awareness... Home fans in your corner goes a long way...
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
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